People turn to solar power for several different reasons:
- High energy prices
- Climate change
- Fossil fuel depletion
- Solar energy costs are coming down
When these factors are taken into account, it’s no wonder that people are going solar. Here are some more data on each:
High Energy Prices
While we’ve been hearing most about high oil prices over the past few years, electricity prices have also been going up in many places. When combined with the price of solar photovoltaics coming down, solar looks a lot more practical than it used to. The recession may have lowered energy prices temporarily, but how long will that last? The volatility in energy prices also makes solar power attractive because you don’t get left vulnerable to energy price spikes when you produce more electricity than you use.
Climate Change
Operating a residential solar power system does not produce CO2. While some CO2 is produced during the making of solar panels and other elements of the system, there are vastly lower emissions than from the production of electricity from oil, gas, or most especially coal. Thus, every solar photovoltaic array very slightly reduces the likelihood of catastrophic climate change.
Fossil Fuel Depletion
The easiest, cheapest oil gets used first. Most oilfields and wells being brought into use now produce oil that is difficult to access or process in some way. This tends to keep oil prices high. It looks increasingly likely that we have hit Peak Oil, which means diminishing supplies of oil in the future no matter how much oil exploration and development we do.
While most electricity does not come from oil, prices for all forms of energy are linked and are likely to become increasingly so as more electric vehicles are made, and even more so if Coal-to-Liquids technology is used on any large scale. In the US, coal is the largest source of electricity. If Coal-to-Liquids plants are built to compensate for Peak Oil, this would increase the price of coal, and therefore that of electricity.
Coal supplies are not endless and it looks increasingly likely that there may be less recoverable coal than commonly thought. This is likely to raise electricity prices in the future. In such an environment renewable energy sources, including solar, look better and better.
Residential Solar Energy is Becoming More Affordable
The current recession has resulted in people buying less. During the high oil prices, producers of solar panels and other components vastly increased capacity. When the recession hit, they found themselves with excess solar photovoltaic systems, components, and raw materials. Prices dropped.
The USA is about to start giving larger rebates for solar which will help increase affordability for a very large, affluent market. This is likely to increase demand for solar energy, which might prevent lowering of prices in the short term, but will likely reduce them in the long term by increasing the capacity of industry. China has also started manufacturing solar panels, which is likely to reduce solar panel price due to economies of scale and cheaper labor in that country.
In California there is at least one company that offers leases of solar photovoltaic systems with guaranteed electricity prices lower than that of some utilities in that area. This increases affordability of solar by eliminating the high start-up costs of home solar systems which act as the largest barrier to going solar for many people.
More Information:
Fossil Fuel Depletion, Peak Oil and Energy Prices:
The Oil Drum
Richard Heinberg’s Museletter
Heinberg, R. 2009 Blackout: coal, climate and the last energy crisis. New Society Publishers.
Trends in Renewables and Renewable Energy News:
Renewable Energy World